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Rozenstruik vs Gane Main Card Predictions

The Fight Analyst Garrett Kerman gives his main card predictions for UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs Gane. The main card airs on ESPN+ at 5pm PST.

Credit: UFC

This weekend we have a high-octane 13-fight fight card that is going to deliver a ton of excitement. This fight card is headlined by two heavy-hitting heavyweight contenders in #3 Jairzinho Rozenstruik and #7 Cyril Gane. The rest of this fight night is littered with a mix UFC veterans and newcomers alike. You can be assured that this is one night of fights you are not going to want to miss.

Alex Caceres vs Kevin Croom

Two veterans in the Featherweight division look to keep their winning streaks alive as they square off on the first fight on the main card. Alex Caceres is on the longest win streak of his career since 2014 takes on the newcomer in Kevin Croom who had a monumental upset in his UFC debut and is also riding a winning streak of his own.

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Kevin Croom got the short notice call when Matt Frevola had to pull out of his fight with Roosevelt Roberts and he absolutely capitalized off of it with a first-round standing guillotine win. Croom is a long veteran of this sport training out of the surging Glory MMA gym with head coach James Krause and fighters like Grant Dawson, Julian Marquez, and Darrick Minner. These fighters are known for their grappling prowess and snatching necks which he will be looking for here against the savvy UFC veteran Alex Caceres.

“Bruce Leeroy” Alex Caceres is riding high as he has looked the best he has in quite some time over his 3 fight win streak. He proved the doubters wrong in his fight against Chase Hooper as a big underdog and then followed it up with a dominant performance his next time out against Austin Springer who missed weight. Caceres is crafty on his feet and has some underrated grappling to go along with it.

This is going to be a very evenly matched fight between these two featherweight fighters. Croom showed he belonged in the UFC with his 30-second finish of Roberts and that he is very well rounded. Caceres is going to need to fight smart by staying on the outside and use his grappling. With that said, the difference-maker in this one will be the power and the awkward striking style of Croom and his sneaky chokes.

Kevin Croom via 2nd round submission

Pedro Munhoz vs Jimmie Rivera

We have a great scrap here between two lightweight title challengers, Jimmie Rivera and Pedro Munhoz. Both fighters have been in top form as of late coming off of good performances in their own rights. This is a rematch where we saw Rivera win their first encounter with a close split decision win.

Jimmy Rivera, in his most recent, showed why he is a long-time staple in the lightweight division with a dominant performance against fellow standout Cody Stamann. Rivera’s only 3 losses in the UFC are against former world champion Marlon Moraes, current world champion Petr Yan and title challenger Aljamain Sterling showing that he has only lost to the best of the best. He also was the one that gave Yan that toughest fight of his UFC career.

Pedro Munhoz on the other hand is coming off of a loss against Frankie Edgar that many thought he should have won. He hasn’t gotten much luck as he has lost each of his last 3 split decisions. Munhoz has shown that he is dangerous both on the feet and in transitions given his opponents trouble wherever the fight takes place. He is going to need to bring the brawl out of Rivera to get his hand raised this weekend.

This will be a closely contested fight much like the first one. And much like the first one, we should see a similar outcome except Rivera should put a much better performance the second go-round. Munhoz will look to push the pace and be the aggressor in order to land his heavy leg kicks and right hand. But Rivera will do what he does best and that is to avoid the power shots of Munhoz and just pick him apart at range.

Jimmie Rivera via unanimous decision

Montana De La Rosa vs Mayra Bueno Silva

We have a grappler’s delight in this women’s flyweight matchup between Montana De La Rosa and Mayra Bueno Silva. Both of these flyweights combine for 14 submission victories so expect a ton of grappling, transitions, and submission attempts throughout this matchup. This is one fight that will be closely contested throughout the majority of the fight.

Mayra Bueno Silva comes into this fight with Montana De La Rosa with a 2-1 UFC record and the only one to submit Gillian Robertson. Silva has shown she has a striking arsenal to back up her lethal ground game. Her muay-thai striking mixed with her submission threat if this fight hits the mat will make it a tough fight for De La Rosa.

Montana De La Rosa didn’t have similar success in his last fight, losing a one-sided decision to top prospect Viviane Araujo. De La Rosa is a grappler by trade with 9 of her 11 wins coming by submission. She will be hunting for takedowns and trying any which way possible to get this fight to mat as early as possible. At any time this fight extends for a long period of time on the feet she will be at a disadvantage.

Mayra Bueno Silva looks like the all-around better MMA fighter. She is more fluent in her striking and is dangerous off her back. What De La Rosa has going for her is that the only person to submit her in her MMA career was BJJ phenom, Mackenzie Dern. So there is a path to victory for De La Rosa by grinding out a decision victory but doesn’t seem like the likely scenario in this one.

Mayra Bueno Silva via unanimous decision

Nikita Krylov vs Magomed Ankalaev

In the co-main event, we have a lightweight clash between two surging prospects. Both Nikita Krylov and Magomed Ankalaev are coming off of arguably the best performances of their UFC careers. A win from either fighter here can catapult them and put them just a few fights away from a potential title shot. This is going an absolute scrap and one of the best fights on the entire fight card.

Magomed Ankalaev stormed into the UFC as one of the top prospects outside of the promotion with an 8-0 record only to lose his debut by triangle when there was only :01 left in the 3rd and final round. Since then Ankalaev showed why he was dubbed one of the top prospects coming into his debut by rattling off 5 wins in a row with 4 coming by way of knockout. He has got a tough task on his hands with Nikita Krylov as he is one hard opponent to put away.

Nikita Krylov comes into this fight off of a dominant win over Johnny Walker where he was able to weather the early storm and dominate on the mat. He is going to have to go in here with this fight against Ankalaev with the exact same game plan. The only difference here is that Ankalaev is a far better defensive grappler than Johnny Walker.

This is going to be a firefight for however long it lasts. What Krylov does have going for him is that he is insanely durable and can take a punch. That chin is going to really put to the test here against the bombs that Ankalaev will be throwing his way. With that said, Ankalaev seems to be the real deal and it is hard to see him not getting his hand raised here.

Magomed Ankalaev via 2nd round KO/TKO

Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Cyril Gane

The main event for this weekend’s fight card is yet another heavyweight banger. In this one, we have 2 heavy hitters, Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Cyril Gane who are trying to make a statement in the heavyweight division with a win this weekend. Keep your eyes peeling to this one as you are not going to want to miss any second of this action.

Cyril Gane came into the UFC with only a 3-0 MMA record but quickly showed he belongs there. He has gone 4-0 in the promotion with 3 of those 4 wins coming inside the distance. He has shown every facet of his game whether it be his kickboxing that makes him look like he is a Middleweight striking or his ground game where he can down his opponent and dominate them on the mat. He takes on Jairzinho Rozenstruik, who is someone that he can’t ever count-out. So he is going to be methodical with his approach and not over-exert himself as this is his first 5 round main event of his young career.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik has had some great success since he came into the UFC. He comes into this fight sporting a 5-1 UFC record with all 5 wins coming by knockout. Rozenstruik lone blip in his MMA career is a 20 second knockout by the hands of Francis Ngannou which is no fault of his own, that freakish power can turn off anyone’s lights. Rozenstruik has shown he can go 25 minutes and can win any given fight with just one single punch. Having a puncher’s chance makes Rozenstruik dangerous for all 25 minutes of this fight.

Cyril Gane is going to need to fight extremely smart utilizing his movement and mixing in his grappling and most likely will need to get a finish inside 3 rounds if he wants to be victorious, The later this fight goes the better the odds are for Rozenstruik to land that kill shot and get Gane out of there.

Cyril Gane via 2nd round KO/TKO

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Written by Garrett Kerman

Garrett Kerman, a.k.a. "The Fight Analyst" is one of the leading analysts in all of combat sports. He started his journey into the world of combat sports handicapping in 2017. Garrett is the only combat sports analyst to use analytics to make the most accurate of predictions in the fight game.
Since making the transition over to analyzing combat sports full time in 2017 The Fight Analyst has made his clients $21,244 with not one losing year over that time.

Garrett Joined the MMA Power Hour team as a full time contributor in audio/ video podcasts and as a journalist who specializes in predictions.

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