UFC 257 Betting Review: Big underdogs help the sportsbooks have a massive night

What was an action packed Pay Per View to kick start 2021 was also an extremely profitable night for the sportsbooks. UFC 257 started out how most of the public predicted with victories by Amir Albazi and Movsar Evloev. Evloev gave his bettors a scare early on but like Albazi, he was able to weather the early storm and dominate in the later portion of their fights.

What happened next is what changed the landscape of the whole night. The third biggest favorite on the card, Khalil Rountree lost by unanimous decision to Marcin Prachnio with a price tag of -420. After that fight the underdogs starting come alive as five underdogs in the final eight fights cashed leaving the public bettors with a salty taste in their mouths.


Three of the biggest underdogs in Marcin Prachnio, Marina Rodriguez and Dustin Poirier all cashed each with over 2 to 1 odds. From a fans perspective this was a night we will never forget but as a sports bettor this is one we all wish we had back. A lot of people didn’t give much of a chance to both Rodriguez and Poirier in their respective bouts. When they both won their fights in emphatic fashion, outcries ensued from those on social media.

The sportsbooks have been having one of the most profitable months to start the new year in MMA. Fighters that were at least a 2 to 1 betting underdog are 6-5 through 11 (55%) bouts for the start of 2021. Favorites to end 2020 were hitting at a 60% clip to put those numbers into perspective.

Sportsbooks are hopeful that this stretch of underdogs keep on continuing into the next month of February. As we all know in the gambling world, the public has to get their money back which should happen sooner rather than later.

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Written by Garrett Kerman

Garrett Kerman, a.k.a. "The Fight Analyst" is one of the leading analysts in all of combat sports. He started his journey into the world of combat sports handicapping in 2017. Garrett is the only combat sports analyst to use analytics to make the most accurate of predictions in the fight game.
Since making the transition over to analyzing combat sports full time in 2017 The Fight Analyst has made his clients $21,244 with not one losing year over that time.

Garrett Joined the MMA Power Hour team as a full time contributor in audio/ video podcasts and as a journalist who specializes in predictions.

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